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    NFL picks, predictions towards unfold Week 5: Chiefs outgun Payments; Seahawks, Packers, Cowboys keep scorching

    Week 4 was extra like for our NFL picks and predictions towards the unfold. It nonetheless wasn’t smashing, however getting effectively above .500 is a win for any week.

    There’s extra data and information factors out there for all 32 groups as lots of them forge their true identities for the 2021 season. Some, nevertheless, nonetheless stay tough to learn due to accidents and different variables.

    The one factor we will do is attempt to use every part extra to our benefit to make higher recreation decisions towards the quantity because the motion progresses. Here is hoping Week 5 will give us the specified outcomes once more from the method:

    (Recreation odds courtesy of FanDuel)

    Cardinals fly to prime; Packers, Cowboys, Seahawks flex; Titans fall

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    NFL picks towards the unfold for Week 5

      Recreation of the Week: Payments at Chiefs (-3, 56.5 o/u)

    Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

    The Payments’ protection has seemed nice this season however it hasn’t confronted a quarterback of Patrick Mahomes’ caliber, dwelling or away. The Chiefs have discovered a balanced offense and the massive go performs are flowing once more to Tyreek Hill as groups proceed to select their poison between him and Travis Kelce. Mahomes did not like being underneath .500 and does not need to be there once more. The Payments’ offense additionally will trigger loads of issues for the Chiefs’ protection with Josh Allen enjoying effectively and spreading the ball round. Mahomes will not be having a second consecutive loss at dwelling whereas Buffalo is due for a little bit of a highway cooldown in prime time.

    Decide: Chiefs win 34-27 and canopy the unfold.

      Recreation of Midweek: Rams (-1.5, 54.5 o/u) at Seahawks

    Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox and NFL Community

    The Rams’ protection sprung some main leaks towards the flexibility and multiplicity of the Cardinals’ offense. They may get a lot of the identical round Russell Wilson with bonus insider information of the scheme from his offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, a Sean McVay protege. The Matthew Stafford hype prepare bought a little bit derailed final week whereas Wilson’s is all the time chugging like a locomotive. The Rams can comprise D.Okay. Metcalf with Jalen Ramsey however the Seahawks will get huge performs elsewhere as additionally they run effectively. The Rams can exploit the Seahawks’ protection in lots of locations too. This seems like a closing possession recreation within the fourth quarter, so aspect with Wilson at dwelling to be the hero.

    Decide: Seahawks win 31-27.

      Rivalry of the Week: Giants at Cowboys (-7.5, 50.5 o/u)

    Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Giants’ offense is determining extra issues with Daniel Jones, simply as former Cowboys coach Jason Garrett was getting on the recent seat as offensive coordinator. Jones is doing his finest to show he is a keeper by displaying he is a lot improved with higher talent assist. Dak Prescott, nevertheless, is within the complete zone and Ezeklel Elliott has gone again to being a dashing beast at dwelling. Jones will get extra assist from Saquon Barkley and his wideout so New York hangs round, however Dallas will hold flexing because the clear NFC East favourite.

    Decide: Cowboys win 31-24 however fail to cowl the unfold.

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      Lock of the Week: Titans (-4.5, 48.5 o/u) at Jaguars

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET,  CBS

    The Titans didn’t play effectively towards the Jets with Derrick Henry being their solely supply of offense, which additional uncovered all their go protection points. After the massive highway upset in New York, Tennessee will not let that occur once more in Jacksonville. Mike Vrabel will get his workforce again on monitor whereas City Meyer, coping with some hassle private developments, will wrestle to encourage his workforce the identical method. Make the most of the low early quantity because the Titans are sure to rebound and the Jaguars shall be nonetheless hungover from blowing a giant lead in Week 4.

    Decide: Titans win 27-21 and canopy the unfold. 

      Upset of the Week: Eagles (+3.5, 45 o/u) over Panthers

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Eagles needs to be higher than 1-3. The Panthers are a bit inflated at 3-1. Jalen Hurts has been enjoying effectively in passing downfield and operating for chunks when wanted, however he wants to chop down on errors and will use extra assist from the normal dashing assault, given Carolina’s protection is most weak there. The Cowboys’ tight ends induced issues for the Panthers and the Eagles can do the identical with Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz. It comes right down to which stout defensive entrance will management the motion vs. two weakened offensive strains. Though Sam Darnold has been a machine dashing for TDs, Hurts’ elusiveness provides Philadelphia the sting to flee with victory.

    Decide: Eagles win 23-20.

      Jets at Falcons (-3.5, 43.5 o/u) in London

    Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET, NFL Community

    Robert Saleh and Arthur Smith are each on the board with victories as promising rookie coaches. Saleh’s defensive affect is being felt on the Jets, whereas Smith is beginning to determine methods to get one of the best out of Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ distinctive offensive weapons, together with Cordarrelle Patterson. Rookie Zach Wilson can keep scorching in Tottenham towards one other weak go protection, however this is also an opportunity for Atlanta to do effectively with Smith’s most well-liked operating throughout the pond.

    Decide: Falcons win 27-20 and canopy the unfold.

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      Dolphins at Buccaneers (-10.5, 47.5 o/u)

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Dolphins are displaying a unique type of offense with Jacoby Brissett and the passing recreation has all of the sudden been competent because the operating recreation has pale. Nonetheless, their group of broad receivers and tight finish Mike Gesicki can do solely a lot on the opposite aspect of Brady. Brian Flores can scheme his go protection effectively a la Invoice Belichick, however for a second straight week, the Bucs will lean effectively on Leonard Fournette, Ronald Jones and the operating recreation with extra huge sacks and takeaways from the protection.

    Decide: Buccaneers win 30-13 and canopy the unfold.

      Saints (-1.5, 43.5 o/u) at Washington

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    Washington’s protection has been a serious disappointment all-around however will get a break right here towards a workforce with a restricted and inconsistent offense round Alvin Kamara. New Orleans will proceed to toggle Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill at quarterback based mostly on scenario. The Saints’ protection will be exploited loads with Antonio Gibson and Terry McLaurin and a optimistic recreation script is required to rev up a dormant WFT go rush. Taylor Heinicke turns in one other successful efficiency at dwelling to push his workforce above .500 whereas the Saints drop beneath that even mark.

    Decide: Washington wins 23-20.

      Lions at Vikings (-7.5, 49.5 o/u) 

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Lions have been doing their finest to play laborious and get a win however their protection retains going additional within the tank and now the accidents are beginning to pile up, too. The Vikings prefer to assault dangerous groups with Kirk Cousins and are due for an additional domination with its protection enjoying extra the way in which Mike Zimmer likes. Jared Goff is in for an additional tough afternoon with restricted receivers vs. Cousins, who will get to do no matter he needs with Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen.

    Decide: Vikings win 34-17 and canopy the unfold.

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      Broncos at Steelers (-1.5, 40.5 o/u)

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Steelers desperately want a win at 1-3 and sadly it takes a workforce with a worse QB scenario than theirs with Ben Roethlisberger. Enter the Broncos, who may want to begin Drew Lock over a concussed Teddy Bridgewater towards a tough go protection in a possible one-dimensional assault. Pittsburgh has to win video games with D and grinding floor recreation with rookie Najee Harris and this battle of attrition is simply what it wants at dwelling.

    Decide: Steelers win 17-14 and canopy the unfold.

      Packers (-3.5, 49.5 o/u) at Bengals

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

    The Packers know they are going to have their palms full with one other 3-1 workforce from the opposite North. Their go rush is likely to be down two Smiths and shutdown cornerback Jaire Alexander (shoulder) shall be a giant absence towards Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. They might want to win this with Aaron Rodgers outdueling Joe Burrow vs. the Bengals’ cornerbacks. Rodgers will get a little bit extra from his fellow Aaron (Jones) operating than Burrow will get from his fellow Joe (Mixon) to win on the highway.

    Decide: Packers win 27-24 however fail to cowl the unfold.

      Patriots (-9.5, 39.5 o/u) at Texans

    Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

    Following the revenge recreation towards Brady, Belichick will get to organize his go protection for an additional rookie quarterback, Davis Mills. After some pregame pleasantries along with his former personnel colleague Nick Caserio, the coach will make it tough on the struggling Mills whereas additionally containing his go-to man, former Patriots receiver Brandin Cooks. New England’s personal assured rookie QB, Mac Jones, turns in one other sturdy efficiency and this time is rewarded with a definitive victory.

    Decide: Patriots win 24-7 and canopy the unfold.

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      Bears at Raiders (-5.5, 45.5 o/u)

    Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Bears are an offensive work in progress and are enjoying video games with their beginning quarterback determination. Their protection has been nice making performs at occasions and leaky at different occasions. Chicago has basic inconsistency at 2-2 however have a number of talent gamers to trigger Las Vegas considerations, particularly if David Montgomery (knee) does not have to miss time. The Raiders have performed effectively at dwelling with Derek Carr and may overachieve to the required stage on protection.

    Decide: Raiders win 23-19 however fail to cowl the unfold.

      Browns (-1, 49.5 o/u) at Chargers

    Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

    The Browns have one huge benefit on this matchup: Their run blocking and their pair of particular backs, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. They’re constructed to assault the Chargers’ weaknesses effectively and may keep away from their strengths. The Dawg Pound additionally could have a superb touring crowd for backup. Justin Herbert will reply with some huge performs along with his prime wideouts, however Cleveland’s protection makes a key play to protect one other gritty victory late.

    Decide: Browns win 24-22 and canopy the unfold.

      49ers at Cardinals (-4.5, 52.5 o/u)

    Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

    The 49ers shall be rolling out Trey Lance full-time with Jimmy Garoppolo (calf) injured once more.The rookie first-rounder was a little bit shaky with prolonged time towards the Seahawks however ought to settle higher into his twin risk position for Kyle Shanahan’s offense. There’s nothing unsuitable with a locked-in Kyler Murray in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. He is the MVP front-runner of a blooming powerhouse. The 49ers have sufficient defensive holes to suppose he’ll outlast some dazzle from Lance.

    Decide: Cardinals win 31-27 however fail to cowl the unfold.

      Colts at Ravens (-7, 48 o/u)

    Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

    The Ravens are discovering their groove on offense as they’re changing into much less depending on the operating recreation round Lamar Jackson and changing into extra aggressive in getting everybody concerned within the passing recreation. The Colts are going again to their run-heavy recreation plan that includes Jonathan Taylor with Carson Wentz making clutch throws. Baltimore’s general protection, execution and effectivity is healthier and there is all the time additional fan emotion in prime time when it performs the workforce from Indy that used to name Appeal Metropolis dwelling.

    Decide: Ravens win 30-20 and canopy the unfold.

    Vinnie Iyer’s 2021 picks:

      Week 4 document towards the unfold: 10-5Week 4 document straight up: 12-3Season ATS: 31-32Season straight up: 41-22

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